INDEX / BLOG / THE SEPTEMBER SPRINT, STRAIGHT FROM...
2026-09-24
FROM THE REGISTRY

The September sprint, straight from the USAspending API

BY DYLAN ROY · SEPTEMBER 24, 2026

The federal fiscal year ends on September 30. Six days from now, agencies will finish the annual ritual of obligating whatever is left of their one-year money, because appropriations that aren't committed by the deadline go back to the Treasury. Everyone in Washington calls it use it or lose it. Two economists, Jeffrey Liebman and Neale Mahoney, put a number on it a decade ago: in 2004–2009 procurement data, the last week of the year carried 4.9 times the spending of an average week, and the IT projects bought in that week were two to six times as likely to get low quality ratings.

We wanted to see what it looks like now, from the outside, using nothing but the public API. USAspending.gov is the Treasury's open-data site for every federal award since FY2008, and its API is in the index as usaspending-gov. No key, no signup: POST a JSON body and wait. Three request bodies produced everything below.

One request, seventeen years

The workhorse is search/spending_over_time. Ask it for monthly totals of contract obligations (award types A through D: definitive contracts, purchase orders, delivery orders and BPA calls) from the start of FY2010 to today:

POST https://api.usaspending.gov/api/v2/search/spending_over_time/
{
  "group": "month",
  "filters": {
    "time_period": [{"start_date": "2009-10-01", "end_date": "2026-09-30"}],
    "award_type_codes": ["A", "B", "C", "D"]
  }
}

Fifty seconds later you get 204 rows, one per fiscal month. Two things to know before you plot them. Months are numbered from the start of the fiscal year, so month 1 is October and month 12 is September. And the totals are obligations by action date: money committed on a contract that day, net of de-obligations, not cash going out the door.

Heatmap of fiscal years 2010 to 2025 by month. The September column is the darkest in every row, at 15 to 19 percent of each year's contract dollars.
Share of each fiscal year's contract obligations booked in each month, FY2010–FY2025. September's value is printed in each row.

Every complete year in the series puts between 15.0% and 19.1% of its contract dollars in September, 17.1% on average, which is 2.3 times an ordinary month. There are no exceptions: not the sequestration year, not the pandemic year. FY2025 set the high mark, with $148.5 billion of its $778.5 billion booked in the final month.

Swap the award types for grants (codes 02 through 05) and the pattern vanishes. Grants put 6.7% of their dollars in September and run on a quarterly clock instead, with October, January, April and July each carrying 16 to 20 percent. Formula grants tend to go out when a quarter starts; contracts go out when the money is about to expire.

Which agencies sprint hardest

The same endpoint takes an agencies filter, so a second body, sent once per agency, gives the ranking. We pooled FY2021 through FY2025 to smooth out single-year noise and kept awarding agencies with more than $5 billion in contracts over the period.

"agencies": [{"type": "awarding", "tier": "toptier", "name": "Department of State"}]
Horizontal bars of September's share of contract dollars by awarding agency, FY2021 to FY2025: Social Security 37%, State 35%, Homeland Security 28%, down to Energy at 7%.
Share of contract obligations booked in September by awarding agency, FY2021–FY2025 combined. The grey rule is the all-agency figure, 18%.

State books 35% of its contract dollars in September and Homeland Security 28%. Defense, which is most of the money, sits at 16%. Energy is the outlier at 7%: most of its contract dollars go to the management-and-operating contracts that run the national laboratories, funded steadily through the year rather than against a September deadline. The Social Security Administration tops the chart at 37%, but on a small portfolio of about $9 billion across the five years.

Down to the week, and the day

Month is the finest grouping the endpoint offers, so anything finer means one request per window. We sent 53 seven-day windows covering FY2025 and 61 single-day windows covering August and September 2025: 114 calls, three at a time, in a little over twenty minutes. The weekly and daily pulls sum to the monthly totals to the cent, which says the date filter means what it appears to mean.

Bar chart of FY2025 contract obligations by week. The week of September 23 reaches 67 billion dollars, 4.5 times the average week.
FY2025 contract obligations per seven-day window, October 2024 to September 2025. September weeks in blue.
Bar chart of daily contract obligations for August and September 2025, climbing through September to 25.4 billion dollars on Monday, September 29.
Contract obligations per calendar day, August 1 to September 30, 2025. Dots mark weekends.
FY2025Contract obligations
Average week$14.9B
Week of September 23–29$67.0B, 4.5x an average week
Last seven days, September 24–30$77.4B, 5.2x an average week
Average day$2.1B
Monday, September 29$25.4B, 11.9x an average day
Tuesday, September 30$17.1B
First half of September / second half$35.5B / $113.0B

Liebman and Mahoney's 4.9x was measured on 2004–2009 data. The FY2025 figure on the same definition is 5.2x. Fifteen years, several reform efforts and one pandemic later, the sprint is a little faster than it was. The government even worked the last weekend: Saturday, September 27 saw $1.1 billion in obligations, against a typical Saturday's hundred million or so.

Notes for anyone building on it

The listing at /api/usaspending-gov has the base URL and the docs link. It is unclaimed. If you work at the Bureau of the Fiscal Service, it's yours.

Source: USAspending.gov API, search/spending_over_time, contract obligations by action date, pulled September 16, 2026. Liebman, J. B. and Mahoney, N., “Do Expiring Budgets Lead to Wasteful Year-End Spending? Evidence from Federal Procurement,” American Economic Review 107(11), 2017; NBER Working Paper 19481.