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2026-10-09
FROM THE REGISTRY

One in nine car recalls is now a software download, from NHTSA's recall data

BY DYLAN ROY · OCTOBER 9, 2026

A recall used to mean a letter, a phone call and a morning at the dealer. More and more often now it means the car downloads a file overnight. The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration records every US recall campaign since 1966 and, for the recent ones, whether the remedy is an over-the-air update. We counted. The answer is that the software recall went from a Tesla curiosity to one in nine light-vehicle recalls in six years, and that this year Tesla is barely in the picture.

Two sources, both free and keyless: NHTSA's own recalls API, in the index as nhtsa, and the agency's recall dataset on data.transportation.gov. The API answers questions about one vehicle at a time. The dataset answers questions about all of them.

Finding the software recalls

The API is the one most people meet. Give it a make, model and year and it returns that vehicle's recalls:

GET https://api.nhtsa.gov/recalls/recallsByVehicle?make=tesla&model=model%203&modelYear=2024

{"Count": 5, "Message": "Results returned successfully", "results": [
  {"Manufacturer": "Tesla, Inc.", "NHTSACampaignNumber": "24V554000", "overTheAirUpdate": true,
   "parkIt": false, "parkOutSide": false, "ReportReceivedDate": "24/07/2024",
   "Component": "LATCHES/LOCKS/LINKAGES:HOOD:LATCH",
   "Remedy": "Tesla has released an over-the-air (OTA) software update, free of charge. ...", ...}, ...]}

Two of the 2024 Model 3's five recalls carry overTheAirUpdate: true: a hood latch that could fail to detect an unlatched hood, and a tire-pressure warning that did not persist between drives, both fixed by an update. That flag is the thing we wanted to count, but the API has no endpoint for all recalls, only lookups by vehicle or by campaign number. The dataset fills the gap: one row per campaign, 30,342 of them through October 1, 2026, including the full text of the remedy. So the definition became: a vehicle recall whose corrective-action text says the fix is over the air.

Then we checked the definition against the flag, campaign by campaign, with 1,720 calls to recalls/campaignNumber: every recall since 2015 whose remedy text mentions software, firmware, updates or reflashing, every Tesla recall, and a random control sample of 300 recalls that mention none of those words. Through 2024 the flag and the wording agree on 89 of 91 campaigns, and not one of the 300 controls is flagged. Then the flag goes dark. It is set on 4 of the 38 over-the-air recalls of 2025 and none of the 33 so far in 2026; the last flagged campaign was filed in May 2025. The field is still in the API. Nobody fills it in any more, which is why the chart below counts words rather than flags.

Stacked bar chart of US vehicle recall campaigns with an over-the-air remedy by year, 2020 to 2026, split between Tesla and every other manufacturer: 5, 9, 22, 17, 33, 38 and 33 so far in 2026. Tesla filed 12 of the 22 in 2022 and 1 of the 33 in 2026. A row beneath shows the share of light-vehicle makers' recall campaigns rising from 1.5 percent to 11.5 percent.
Vehicle recall campaigns whose remedy is an over-the-air software update, by the year NHTSA received the report. 2026 runs to October 1. The share row is the fraction of all recall campaigns filed by car and light-truck makers.
YearOver-the-air recallsShare of light-vehicle makers' recallsVehicles covered
202051.5%0.3M
202192.2%2.0M
2022225.8%5.2M
2023174.2%2.7M
2024337.6%6.8M
2025388.4%5.0M
2026, to October 13311.5%7.6M

Among the car and light-truck makers, who file about a third of all vehicle recalls (the rest are RVs, trailers, trucks, buses and motorcycles), the over-the-air share has gone from 1.5% in 2020 to 11.5% this year. Counted by vehicles instead of campaigns the share is bigger: the 33 software recalls of 2026 cover 7.6 million vehicles, 23% of every vehicle recalled this year, and 2024 was also 23%. Nearly a quarter of recalled vehicles now get their fix without visiting anyone.

It isn't Tesla any more

Horizontal bar chart of over-the-air recall campaigns by manufacturer, January 2020 to October 2026. Tesla 32, Ford 23, General Motors 18, Lucid 11, Hyundai 10, Rivian 6, Volvo Cars 5, then Stellantis, Mercedes-Benz, Polestar, Nissan and Fisker with 4 each. Each bar is labeled with the share of that maker's own recalls.
Vehicle recall campaigns with an over-the-air remedy, January 2020 to October 1, 2026: 157 campaigns from 31 manufacturers. The label is the share of each maker's own recalls that were over the air.

The first over-the-air recall in the data is Tesla's, in January 2014, for a charger that could overheat. The second is Mercedes-Benz, in November 2019, for cars that reported the wrong location to emergency services, and the third is General Motors in August 2020. For a while it was mostly Tesla: 12 of the 22 software recalls of 2022. Then everyone else learned. Tesla filed 3 of 38 in 2025 and 1 of 33 in 2026. Over the whole period it has 32 of the 157, and 40% of its own recalls were fixed over the air; Ford has 23, with eight in each of the last two years, General Motors 18, Lucid 11 (half of all its recalls), Hyundai 10. Thirty-one manufacturers have now filed at least one.

What gets fixed this way is mostly screens and cameras. Forty of the 157 campaigns are filed under back-over prevention, the rearview camera system: a display that fails to show the image, or shows it too late, which violates the federal standard for backup visibility. Most of the rest sit under the electrical system, where the common sub-components are instrument clusters and plain software. The largest recall ever to carry an over-the-air remedy is this February's: Ford, 4.4 million vehicles whose trailer lights and brakes could stop working, with the fix offered at a dealer or as a download.

The most recalled part of a car is now the electrical system

Line chart of the share of US vehicle recall campaigns filed under each NHTSA component group from 2000 to 2025. The electrical system line rises from 6 percent in 2000 to 21 percent in 2025 and is the highest line from 2023 on; equipment, structure, powertrain, air bags, suspension and steering sit below.
Share of vehicle recall campaigns filed under each NHTSA component group, 2000–2025, among campaigns with a component recorded. The electrical-system group includes software, wiring, batteries, modules and displays.

Each campaign is filed under a component. In 2000 the electrical system accounted for 6% of them and ranked ninth. In 2025 it was 21% and ranked first, as it has every year since 2023. The dataset records only the top level of the component path, and 10 to 25 percent of campaigns in a given year have none at all, so the exact shares move around; the direction does not.

The recall year, in context

Two bar charts of US vehicle recalls per year since 1990. Campaigns per year rise from about 200 in 1990 to a peak of 988 in 2021; vehicles potentially affected peak at about 50 million a year in 2014, 2015 and 2016. 2026 to October 1 is 611 campaigns and 32.7 million vehicles, more than all of 2025.
Vehicle recall campaigns and the vehicles they covered, by the year NHTSA received the report, 1990–2026. Units are the manufacturer's estimate at filing.

The number of campaigns roughly quadrupled between 1990 and the record of 988 in 2021 and has stayed near 900 since. The 2014 to 2016 spike in vehicles is the General Motors ignition switch and the Takata air bag inflators, around 50 million vehicles a year. 2026 is on a slower pace in campaigns, 611 by October 1 against 642 at the same point last year, but a much faster one in vehicles: 32.7 million already, more than all of 2025 and 57% ahead of last year's first nine months. Two more things stand out in the recent years. Ford filed 146 recalls in 2025, more than double its 62 of 2024 and more than any manufacturer has filed in a year. And the “park outside” advisory, attached to recalls where a parked vehicle could catch fire, has gone from 7 campaigns in 2020 to 19 by October 1 this year, already within one of the 2023 record.

Notes for anyone building on it

The listing at /api/nhtsa has the base URL and the docs link. It is unclaimed. If you work at NHTSA, it's yours.

Source: NHTSA Recalls Data (data.transportation.gov dataset 6axg-epim, one row per Part 573 campaign) and api.nhtsa.gov recalls/campaignNumber for the over-the-air, park-outside and component fields, pulled October 8, 2026, latest report received October 1, 2026. An over-the-air recall is a vehicle campaign whose corrective-action text describes the remedy as over the air. Light-vehicle makers are the 39 car and light-truck manufacturers that file with NHTSA.